Bitcoin Bear Flag Is TRAPPING Everyone… What Happens Next?! 😳

Boom! Shakalaka. Bitcoin is flashing some of the strongest bottom signals we've seen in months. But at the same time, it is sitting inside a textbook bare flag designed to trick everyone. Global money is exploding. Macro indicators are flipping bullish. And historically, this is where Bitcoin makes its biggest moves, especially in April. So, the biggest question is, are we about to dump or is this the moment that changes everything? Stay tuned. What's up everyone? Randall here from Cryptolove. Today's video, Bitcoin is inside a textbook bare flag while bottoming signals are lighting up all over the place. What is going to happen and specifically when? Before we get into it, like the video, join us on Twitter at the Cryptolove, and of course, subscribe to the OG Bitcoin and Crypto YouTube channel. Making videos longer than practically everybody else. Like 99.99% of people making videos in crypto. So today, historically, April is one of the strongest months of the year for Bitcoin. If we take a look at Bitcoin seasonality, average monthly performance, you can see there's two very big green boners. First one in April, second one in November. We all know about the one in November, but the one in April is news to me. So, let's see what happens this month. Because I guess since taxes are maybe over, people start putting money back in the crypto. I don't exactly know how that works. But taking a look at bare market seasonality, you can see over the past couple months since February, we have been bottoming well below the average right now. And if we take a look at one, two, three, well, at least two of the four years, they go up from here and the average goes up from here. This one and this one kind of goes sideways. So, could we be looking for things going up? Well, for that to happen, we'd kind of have to not do what this bare flag is telling us it's going to do. So, no pattern is bulletproof, but flags channels on Bitcoin for the past two cycles have done a great job of showing what to expect. And for the past 2 months, price has been in a textbook bare flag. This right here, where it rises against an overall downtrend. This is our second bare flag of the 2026 bare market. For reference, 2022 back here saw five before the cycle bottom distribution channel. Look at that bare flag, bare flag, bear, bear, bear. So, could we have some more coming? Flags are tricky because inside of them, price will be doing the opposite of the outcome. for bare flags that's going up, fooling everyone into expecting upside continuation. And if we take a look, pretty much for every single one, every bare flag, price broke down. Every bull flag, price broke up. So, are we going to break down again? Very well could. Now, the I guess the silver lining is that Bitcoin has never gone below its electrical cost in terms of price. And based on that, that's $47,000, which is 2,000 higher than the $45,000 prediction I had this whole entire cycle for the Bitcoin bottom. So that being said, could we find support there if price breaks down? Certainly. But before we get there, we have the production cost and quantile support cost. Today, Bitcoin price sits right at or just barely below the power law estimate of the current cost of production floor $73,000. That's this I don't know what it's like transparent mustard color if that's what you call it. This dash line right here sitting right below there sitting just above this Q5 $68,000 price as lower levels to catch possible next fall we have around 60,000 the first quantile price floor in red right here and probably worst case the cost of production $53,000. Now note the cost of production is different than the electrical cost because there's more than electricity that goes into producing Bitcoin. There's buying the hardware, maintaining it, paying people, all that other stuff that goes into all the fun stuff that makes the cost of production. So that being said, if price if we do have that bare market breakdown, that bare flag breakdown, the next levels we could be looking at around $68,000, 60,000, and $53,000 before the ultimate bottom that I predicted months ago at $45,000. Or am I wrong? Because I've been wrong before. I could be wrong again. We could just be patiently waiting for the Bitcoin bottom. Let's print a few more millions. If we take a look at the Bitcoin percentage of supply and profit and loss, you can see that when we have these little combinations, that's when bottoms happen. Could we be having a bottom right now? Because you know what's not bottoming? Global M2. It is exploding. They are printing money on a massive scale across the world. Bitcoin will soon follow. I mean, look at this divergence. Generally, Bitcoin has followed Global M2 until about August of 2025. And then all of a sudden, Bitcoin decide to poop out and Global M2 continues to expand. So, will we see Bitcoin price catch up with this? Or will things just continue in the direction they're going? Well, this chart right here, this is the decode macro trend oscillator down here on the bottom. Imagine the smell. Take a look. Every time historically we had orange here, these were bull runs for Bitcoin. Right now, based on this, we have orange. So the histogram is pointing up on the macro trend oscillator. We have already done the downside of this. Could you imagine? Now the one thing I will note is this is the first time when we have that this oscillator on the positive side and price has been going down all times historically when the oscillator was in the positive side price was going up. So could we have some massive move on the horizon for Bitcoin? This chart also is suggesting that every time this macro indicator bounced a Bitcoin bull run formed. You can see potentially finding support there on the bottom. Maybe we could be at the bottoming before the bull run. It's really hard to tell before it actually happens. Now, my own experience from the past couple bare marketers I've been through. It's not until you're really like vomiting and sick to your stomach that we've hit a bottom. So, personally, I don't feel that yet, but we'll get there. I'm sure if we haven't gotten there already. Right now, Bitcoin is sitting in the 10th quantile now at 10% on the risk score, which means that despite what you do, buying Bitcoin now is not risky at all in terms of risk assets. The higher the price goes, the riskier it gets. But based on this, the price is not risky at all. So, that would mean essentially that it's a good buy. You want to buy while others are greedy. No, you want to be greedy when others are fearful and fearful while others are greedy. Right now, nobody's greedy. Nobody's really fearful. We're kind of in the middle neutral territory. So, Bitcoin appears to be leaving the 25th quartile in the mean reversion index. You can see this down here. Looks to be leaving this green territory. Now, I should note that historically this green territory was bottom territory for Bitcoin, which would have made it an excellent buy in those areas. I'd say departing value territory, but still cheap. Still learning to how to interpret the spread between fast and slow indices. the middle gray right here, but could be headed up from where we are right now. Which brings us to things like this. We could be on the verge of a massive turnaround for Bitcoin despite it going sideways and nobody knowing really what's been going on and people being fearful and all these other things. If we take a look at the Bitcoin monthly right here and the log MACD down on the bottom, we have another bottoming signal lighting up. first increase in the log MACD histogram. You can see that historically when this changes from dark red to we'll call that rose. When it changes from dark red to rose, well, that's historically bottoming signal territory on the monthly candles. Take a look at this. The month is not finished. It needs to hold through the monthly close to confirm. Remember, April is historically one of the best months. So, we could see it hold through the month. If that happens, we could have a turnaround for Bitcoin on the monthly. The longer time trends tend to be more definitive than the shorter ones. Could the trend be changing? And could we be headed towards higher highs? Bitcoin rainbow chart predicts $150,000 to $440,000 in 2026 this year. Holy cow. Could you imagine that? And guess what? By the next election halfing cycle 2028 based on this the log log scale of Bitcoin we have $500,000 to $1 million Bitcoin roughly coinciding with the date of the halfing and election as the base case if we don't break out from these levels. So things are looking exciting. Maybe just have to be a little bit patient and wait for it to come into fruition. But that's all for this episode. If you enjoyed it, like the video, subscribe. Also, check out some of our shorts. I'll catch you later. Have a good one. Love you. >> Peace. Boom. Shaka. If you don't think Bitcoin's going to a million dollars a coin and then $10 million a coin, you're already a loser. From now on, if you don't own Bitcoin, you're a